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GFL-CA: Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference Takeaways
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GFL-CA: Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference Takeaways
Equity Research
Company Update — June 9, 2026
Machinery, Industrials & Environmental Services
GFL Environmental Inc.
Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference Takeaways Overweight
Price Target: C$69.00
Our Call Ticker GFL-CA
Upside/(Downside) to Target 39.4%
Today we hosted GFL for a fireside chat at the Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference
with CFO Luke Pelosi. Key takeaways follow. Price (06/09/2026) C$49.51
52 Week Range C$46.12 - 71.13
(i) Management noted in the next few years, it will target C$1–2bn annually on M&A and Market Cap (MM) C$17,749
still deleverage, given GFL's current free cash flow profile. The addressable M&A pipeline Average Daily Value (MM) C$32
represents C$11–12bn of annual revenue. GFL has capacity for 40–45 deals per year, the Dividend Yield 0.2%
vast majority of which are small bolt-ons, with perhaps 1–2 larger deals annually (i.e. C
$25–100MM of EBITDA). C$ (Dec) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
EPS
(ii) On the proposed C$6.4B SECURE acquisition, GFL noted that the duopoly nature of 2026E 0.09 A 0.23 E 0.26 E 0.24 E 0.82 E
the market and challenges getting approvals to add capacity at attractive locations drive 2027E 0.06 E 0.33 E 0.36 E 0.26 E 1.02 E
attractive long-term returns opportunity. Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities estimates, and Factset.
NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
(iii) GFL noted rising recycled prices is an incremental positive to guidance.
Jerry Revich, CFA
(iv) Management noted the M&A competitive landscape is largely unchanged. GFL notes Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Jerry.Revich@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5458
the large players often don't overlap on competitive M&A bids geographically, while
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