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HOLT Emerging Markets "Breakout compounders: LATAM firms forecasted for ..."
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HOLT Emerging Markets "Breakout compounders: LATAM firms forecasted for ..."
Global Research
11 June 2026ab
HOLT Emerging Markets Equities
Emerging Markets
Breakout compounders: LATAM firms Pablo Cossaro, CFA
HOLT Sector Specialist
pablo.cossaro@ubs.comforecasted for a surge in value creation
+1-212-538 5906
Jonathan Carson
Identifying LATAM’s next generation of wealth compounders jonathan.carson@ubs.com
A number of LATAM firms may be entering a phase of accelerating value creation, as +1-212-882 5659
reflected in forecasted sequential gains in Economic Profits (EP) in 2026 and 2027.
Unlike traditional accounting metrics, the UBS HOLT EP metric captures true economic
profitability by incorporating companies' full cost of capital into the wealth generation
assessment. This note aims to identify LATAM firms forecasted for an acceleration in EP,
driven by an expansion in their forecasted CFROI and healthy asset reinvestment rates.
Screening for inflection points in corporate performance
Rather than focusing on historically steady performers, this analysis is designed to detect
inflection points as Latin American companies deliver a step change in near-term value
creation. These inflections are often led by more efficient operations, progress in
turnaround efforts, or innovation-driven growth strategies that eventually lift CFROI
trajectories. Hence, the focus is on forward-looking improvements in value creation
rather than on the historical EP performance of Latin American companies.
Leveraging HOLT valuation factors to identify opportunities
This note integrates EP growth stats with valuation signals, leveraging two HOLT factors:
1) the HOLT Scorecard Valuation factor and 2) HOLT's Valuation Relative to History factor.
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