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Takeaways from the RBC CM Investor Sessions for Canadian REITs/REOCs in New York
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Takeaways from the RBC CM Investor Sessions for Canadian REITs/REOCs in New York
still catching
up to the population growth of prior years, commentary was unanimously constructive. Demand from
grocers, value, and discount banners is particularly robust. Of note, SRU has already leased >50% of the
expansion at Toronto Premium Outlets. A broader acceleration of new supply seems unlikely given the
wide gap between market and replacement cost rents. Of the more discretionary retail portfolios, PMZ
also cited exceptionally strong CRU leasing velocity. Among retail attendees, we expect REI to lead on SP
NOI growth in 2026 (+3.5-4%), supported by robust leasing spreads and rising occupancy. The proposed
acquisition of FCR by CHP and KingSett Capital was also topical. As we noted on May 27, we see CHP’s
$5B acquisition of FCR’s assets as a strategically compelling deal that should enhance its growth profile
and quality. Bottom line, our preferred retail picks remain REI, CHP, PMZ, SRU, and APR.
Seniors housing operating metrics tracking on pace with targets. CSH reiterated its 95% SP-occupancy
target for 2026, with leading indicators moving in the right direction. With target growth of >4%
REVPOS, <4% DOEPOS, and minimal new supply, we see high-single/low double-digit SP NOI growth in
2026E/27E. Importantly, CSH is also building a pipeline of acquisition opportunities by partnering with
developers. While there are plenty of theories on CSH’s recent unit price weakness, we see current
levels as attractive. As for VITL, management is acutely focused on simplifying the business. Over time,
we expect its institutional investor draw to expand supported by a favourable outlook for healthcare
real estate fundamentals and a gradual shift to a more North American weighted footprint.
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