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US Semiconductors and Semi Equipment "SemiBytes: Computex, GTC Taipei, I..."
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US Semiconductors and Semi Equipment "SemiBytes: Computex, GTC Taipei, I..."
Global Research
8 June 2026ab
US Semiconductors and Semi Equipment Equities
AmericasSemiBytes: Computex, GTC Taipei, ISM/PMI
Semiconductors
Timothy Arcuri
Computex takeaways: Analyst
Our key takeaways from Computex reinforce our view that AI demand remains timothy.arcuri@ubs.com
robust, with the agentic ramp continuing to drive incremental intensity across +1-415-352 5676
GPUs/XPUs, CPUs, networking, and broader rack-level content. On the latest Natalia Winkler, CFA
NVDA/AMD ramps, our latest reads (consistent with our models) is that NVDA Analyst
Blackwell will dominate C2026 shipments with Rubin Ultra layering in into C4Q26. natalia.winkler@ubs.com
While for AMD Helios, we continue to expect motherboard shipments in Q4’26, +1-415-352 4626
though full rack deployments are likely skewed toward YE’26 given additional Grant Joslin
time required for double-wide rack optimization, validation, and data center Analyst
integration. grant.joslin@ubs.com
+1-201-352 0442
ARM: ARM outlined a more constructive view on CPU TAM vs. its March “ARM
Gianmarco Vella
Everywhere” event, noting industry discussions are now centered around a ~
Associate Analyst
$200B+ opportunity (~2x prior framing) and compares to $170B+ (our estimated gianmarco.vella@ubs.com
that largely excluded China AI market), though it stopped short of formally +1-415-352 4555
updating its own estimate. The company confirmed ARM AGI is now in production
Aaryan Wadhwa
at TSMC, with offerings spanning 36kW (8,160 cores) and 200kW (45,696 cores)
rack configurations. Importantly, ByteDance and Oracle were disclosed as new aaryan.wadhwa@ubs.com
AGI customers, and now suggesting its prior $15B F2031 AGI revenue target is +1-212-821 6481
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