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U.S. REITs "Are REITs Cheap? - Building Blocks 2Q'26" Goldsmith
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U.S. REITs "Are REITs Cheap? - Building Blocks 2Q'26" Goldsmith
he REIT industry. Though at the same time, Data Centers have
had similarly positive estimate revisions and vastly outperformed the REIT industry
average. This is despite valuations which average 1 turn higher than the
SHOP Healthcare REITs.
Positioned for Valuation Inflection (Residential, Industrial, Office, non-
SHOP Healthcare): All the subsectors in this cohort have had negative estimate
revisions on average YTD and share price performance which is in-line with to
below the REIT industry YTD through early June. Within this group, we think there
are multiple expansion opportunities if the macro is more supportive or there are
indications of sustainable positive momentum in key earnings metrics.
Narrative-driven Multiple Expansion (Self Storage and Cold Storage): This
cohort is comprised of subsectors which have performance approximately in-line
with the REIT industry despite estimates moving materially lower. For both Self
Storage and Cold Storage, we think investors are looking forward to the potential
for stronger growth in 2027. For Self Storage, the expiration of LA anti-gouging
restrictions is a tailwind. Though, we see limited visibility of material improvement
in supply/demand dynamics given challenges in the macro and relatively elevated
supply.
General stability (Strip Centers, Triple Net, Malls): We think the backdrop in
Retail remains stable with consistent demand and limited supply. Estimates have
moved higher through the year, in particular for Triple Nets, supporting modest
share price outperformance for the group. From here, we don't see any near-term
challenges in the group maintaining earnings growth. However, we also think
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