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Taking the Temperature of Power Demand: Monthly Update
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Taking the Temperature of Power Demand: Monthly Update
June 4, 2026 | 08:27 ET~
Energy Transition & Infrastructure
Taking the Temperature of Power Demand: Monthly Energy Transition & Infrastructure and
Update Utilities, Power & Renewables
Ameet Thakkar Analyst
ameet.thakkar@bmo.com (713) 546-9741
Bottom Line:
James M. Thalacker AnalystWe've continued highlighting our constructive view on power demand growth, which
james.thalacker@bmo.com (347) 668-8970
positively impacts independent power/power generation, development, T&D, utility
Edward M DeArias, CFA VP Associaterate base growth, equipment OEMs, and EPCs. That said, a common concern among
edward.dearias@bmo.com (347) 274-1556
investors regarding the emerging supercycle for power demand growth is what happens
Ryan Schlageter Senior Associateif demand growth fails to live up to investor expectations.
ryan.schlageter@bmo.com (929) 789-3536
Our demand analysis tool utilizes real-time weather and power demand data Holly Rohlfs Senior Associate
to provide investors with a more real-time snapshot of power demand trends holly.rohlfs@bmo.com (332) 274-9870
rather than waiting for quarterly reporting from utilities or ISOs. Our approach is Ethan Corcoran Senior Associate
grounded in normalizing for weather, allowing us to focus on the underlying demand ethan.corcoran@bmo.com (347) 839-1752
trends. YTD weather-adjusted power demand growth in absolute terms has Legal Entity: BMO Capital Markets Corp.
declined compared to 2025 and 2024, somewhat expected as y/y comps become
more challenging, and there is invariably a point where grid constraints and
construction times for new supply will slow demand, all else equal.
Key Points
YTD power demand growth by region based on BMO Research estimates. Figure 1
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