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Pressure Building: Why Clearwater’s Best Days May Still Be Ahead
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Pressure Building: Why Clearwater’s Best Days May Still Be Ahead
June 4, 2026 | 05:51 ET~
Oil & Gas
Pressure Building: Why Clearwater’s Best Days May Oil & Gas
Still Be Ahead Jeremy McCrea, CFA Analyst
jeremy.mccrea@bmo.com (403) 355-1444
Nicholas Savoy Senior AssociateBottom Line:
nicholas.savoy@bmo.com (403) 476-2384
The Clearwater has been one of the most successful plays in recent memory, but the
Legal Entity: BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.
waterflood opportunity represents the next chapter – and potentially a much larger one.
Recent progress suggests another expansion phase may be forthcoming, with rising
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
injection rates and improving well-level response. 4,000
But there's a timing mismatch the market may be underappreciating – and what could 3,500
be much higher oil production than what investor outlooks or company guidance 3,000
suggest. 2,500 4030
The benefits of waterflooding are inherently delayed – often taking 12–36 months to 2,000 20
fully translate into an oil-rate response. But as more wells progress through this re- 10 1,500 0
pressurization curve in the upcoming months, the sector is positioned to see a likely Dec Jun Dec Jun
LHS: Price / RHS: Volume (mm) Source: FactSet
more visible increase in production, in addition to lower declines, and ultimately
improved profitability.
Key Points
From Proof to Scale. The Clearwater waterflood story has clearly transitioned beyond
proof-of-concept and into a scaling phase. Injection activity continues to rise across
the basin, reflecting stronger operator confidence and a shift toward long-cycle
reservoir management rather than primary depletion. Early results are consistent –
pressure response is improving, declines are moderating, and operators are increasingly
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