普通外文研报
Global Industrial Perspectives — June 2026
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Global Industrial Perspectives — June 2026
S Distis (+13%) are now outperforming US Machinery
(+9%) and our Multis (+7%) in '26. China & European sectors continue to lag. Exhibit 3 - Global Cap
Goods NTM P/E
23.0xReal time industrial data points remain strong. Global PMIs climbed higher in May, 22.0x
21.0x
20.0x
driven by sequential acceleration from the US (up 1pt to a multi-year high of 54.0) 19.0x18.0x
17.0x
16.0xand continued strength in Japan at 54.5. Europe ticked down (-1pt to 51.6; Germany 15.0x14.0x
-1pt to 50.1, UK up slightly to 53.9). The uptick in our capex expectations index (CXI), 13.0x Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Feb-26 Mar-26 Apr-26 May-26 Jun-26
strong SK exports and surging machine tool orders are also supportive of positive Global Capital Goods 1-YR Median 5-YR Median
Source: FactSet, Wolfe Research
short-cycle momentum. Clearly, we are keeping an eye on high energy prices and
inflation, but so far the damage appears quite contained to housing and consumer
categories. See Pages 4-7 for more details.
We published our latest inventory outlook last week, and note that inventories
remain balanced in aggregate (LINK). Bottom line, there was some weak evidence for Nigel Coe, CPA; CFA
pre-buy, concentrated in construction and consumer channels. Overall, we continue to ncoe@wolferesearch.com
see evidence for expanding short cycle industrial demand as noted during our recent (646) 582-9259
View Nigel’s Researchconference (LINK). View Comp Table
Capex trends have accelerated, led by strong data center investment (LINK). Brad Hewitt
Consensus estimates point to +22% growth in 2026 (+5pts since March) and implies bhewitt@wolferesearch.com
(646) 582-9256
capex/sales in the 10.7% zone (highest ever). Growth leadership remains with Data
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