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Weekly Material Matters: Steel Going to Party Like It's 2021
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Weekly Material Matters: Steel Going to Party Like It's 2021
Equity Research
Industry Update — May 26, 2026
Materials Specialty Metals
Building Products Steel
Construction Materials
Mining
Weekly Material Matters: Steel Going to Party
Like It's 2021
Our Call Timna Tanners
• Steel buyers flagged tight mkts and extended lead times. EquityTimna.Tanners@wellsfargo.comAnalyst | Wells Fargo Securities,| 212-214-5437LLC
• We host SMU for a steel webinar Friday and travel with EXP's CFO. Matt Dushkin, CPA
Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
• We don't expect any USMCA carveouts, and would not expect positives for would-be matt.dushkin@wellsfargo.com | 713-320-7199
beneficiaries AA, CLF, TX, and MT.
Exhibit 1 - ABI vs lagged non-res
The week ahead - EXP NDR, State of Steel with SMU, USMCA negotiations begin construction spending direction y/y
• We host Steel Market Update (SMU) Editor-in-Chief Michael Cowden Friday for a 75 25%
State of Steel webinar. 65 15%
55 5%
• We'll travel with EXP's CFO Craig Kesler in the Mid-Atlantic Wed/Thurs, and we'll be 45 -5%
focused on expected returns at its projects plus cement and wallboard mkts. 35 -15%
25 -25%
• We'll attend S&P Global's steel and scrap mkt outlook in Houston on Thurs. Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21 Jan-22 Jan-23 Jan-24 Jan-25
• USMCA negotiations began Mon; a carveout for Canada if any would be +ve AA and ABI (left)
CLF/MT. ABI expanding/contracting (left)
Non-res spending lagged 1-yr (right, y/y)
The week that was - State of Steel lunch, EXP March qtr-end results, AMRZ lunch Source: AIA, U.S. Census Bureau, Wells Fargo
Securities, LLC
• The initial U.S. surface transportation draft disappointed as year-one road spending Exhibit 2 - U.S.
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