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Stars, Stripes, and the Fine Print
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Stars, Stripes, and the Fine Print
Energy | Global Energy
May 26, 2026
Stephen Richardson Stars, Stripes, and the Fine Print
212-446-5639 Wherein we explain why the interim end of the Iran conflict and
stephen.richardson@evercoreisi.com reopening of Hormuz is ultimately constructive for Energy stocks.
Chris Baker, CFA We find ourselves nostalgic for the days when major geopolitical
917-741-8669
developments were sorted out during market hours. Crude was open chris.baker@evercoreisi.com
on a holiday Monday while US equities were not and sold off on cue as
Chai Zhao, CFA
details of a peace deal trickled out from both sides. The move was 646-321-3097
chai.zhao@evercoreisi.com understandable. A prolonged closure of the strait was always treated
Jason Bandel as an extreme tail event, and the market never fully priced the
212-653-9044 consequences of sustained disruption. The oil market also proved more
jason.bandel@evercoreisi.com resilient than we anticipated, with inventories, SPR releases, and
Chris Lee logistical workarounds doing the heavy lifting. Still, the barrels x days
212-653-9041 math is not debatable, and it was only a matter of time before
chris.lee@evercoreisi.com commercial buyers needed to return to the physical market. From here,
the market will trust but verify, watching whether physical flows follow
the anticipatory price action. The bigger point is that de-escalation
Table of Contents should be good for Energy equities, not bad. A narrower risk premium,
▪ Feature: Wet Hot Delaware Summer better visibility on the inventory hole, and a clearer path toward normal
▪ Estimates Updates: DVN, GPOR & GRNT flows should allow investors to evaluate the sector on fundamentals
rather than crisis math. The conflict was a high-cost object lesson in the
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