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European Insurance News & Views "Prudential plc sensitivity on potential..."
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European Insurance News & Views "Prudential plc sensitivity on potential..."
Global Research
26 May 2026ab
European Insurance News & Views Equities
Europe including UKPrudential plc sensitivity on potential HK
business disruption Financial
Nasib Ahmed, FIA
Analyst
nasib-za.ahmed@ubs.com
Headline: Prudential plc sensitivity on potential HK business disruption +44-20-7568 8231
Will Hardcastle, CFA
There was a crackdown from Chinese authorities on cross-border flows from securities Analyst
companies last week (see Fast Take here). Our Asian analysts have published on the topic will.hardcastle@ubs.com
(see here) and we summarise potential implications for Pru if there is a stop to cross- +44-20-7567 9763
border insurance sales below. Qian Lu
UBS Summary: qian-za.lu@ubs.com
+44-20-7567 4657
Chloe RyanLimited read-across: We note limited read-across for cross-border insurance sales for
Associate Analyst
Pru's HK business, because: 1) Mainland Chinese Visitor (MCV) insurance business for
chloe.ryan@ubs.com
Pru is all conducted while customers are physically present in HK; 2) Regulations +44-20-7567 3505
in China and HK both allow MCV insurance business (e.g. HK does not have
nationality based restrictions on insurance business, and China clarified in 2004 that all
insurance policies purchased locally were compliant with laws); 3) Policy direction
continues to look for integration of HK/China insurance industries.
Pru MCV business sensitivity: We have experienced MCV sales falling to zero during
the pandemic lockdown period. We provide sensitivities to our valuation below, which
includes: 1) Removal of new business from MCVs (estimated at c.30% of Pru's group
new business); 2) A 30% haircut to the HK Embedded Value for follow-on effects
(e.g.
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