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US Restaurants "How Are GLP-1 Drugs Impacting Restaurant Demand?" Geiger
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US Restaurants "How Are GLP-1 Drugs Impacting Restaurant Demand?" Geiger
Powered by Lab Global25 MayResearch2026ab Evidence UBS YES
US Restaurants Equities
AmericasHow Are GLP-1 Drugs Impacting Restaurant
Demand? Restaurants
Dennis Geiger, CFA
Analyst
dennis.geiger@ubs.com
Examining the impact of GLP-1 usage on restaurant industry demand +1-212-713 9313
We examined the latest UBS Evidence Lab US GLP-1 survey ( > Access Dataset ) to gauge Michael Yee
the potential impact from growing GLP-1 drug usage on the restaurant industry. Our Analyst
survey results suggest GLP-1 users are more likely to eat less calories while taking GLP-1 michael.yee@ubs.com
drugs, with survey respondents dining out less, changing eating habits, and appreciating +1-305-536 9101
healthier foods more. While still in the early stages, we believe increasing usage of GLP-1 Paul Hao
drugs could represent a sales headwind for many restaurant brands, including QSRs and Associate Analyst
those that are considered less healthy. Changes in eating behavior could also increase paul.hao@ubs.com
menu shifts towards healthier and smaller-portioned menu options. GLP-1 +1-201-352 1091
advancements over the coming years (incl oral pill format, fewer side effects, lower Nikhil Gunderia
prices) should support accessibility to GLP-1 drug use & increased adoption. Our current Associate Analyst
view is that GLP-1 drugs have had a modest impact on restaurant traffic and sales thus nikhil.gunderia@ubs.com
far, but with greater adoption we believe impacts will increase over time. +1-212-713 3258
Emily Li
How are GLP-1 drugs changing consumer eating habits? Associate Analyst
Our UBS Evidence Lab survey results suggest ~55% of respondents have changed their emily.li@ubs.com
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