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Info/Commercial Weekly
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Info/Commercial Weekly
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Ashish Sabadra (Analyst)
(415) 633-8659,
ashish.sabadra@rbccm.com
David Paige (Analyst)
(646) 703-1063,
david.paige@rbccm.com
William Qi (AVP)
May 22, 2026 (646) 618-6963,
Info/Commercial Weekly william.qi@rbccm.comRESEARCH EXPN Earnings Recap; ECL CFO Meeting and NRA Takeaways
EXPN earnings recap; Ecolab investor meetings with CFO and National Restaurant Association (NRA)
Show key takeaways.
• EXPN 2H26 Results: Conservative Guide Likely Set Up for a Beat. Experian guided to 6-8% organic
growth for FY27, a modest midpoint step-down from 9%/8% in 4Q/FY26 and below expectations
of 7-9% organic growth. However, the outlook appears conservative with potential upside from
easing Middle East tensions, accelerating AI product adoption, and/or a rebound in the NorthEQUITY American consumer marketplace as credit card client caution recedes. The company expects 50bps
of margin expansion—at the top end of its 30-50bps mid-term guidance range—driven by dual-run
cost elimination (~20bps) and AI-driven productivity gains trimming labor costs by 300bps+ over two
years. See note for details.
• ECL CFO Investor Meetings Takeaways: We marketed with CFO Scott Kirkland in Toronto where the
conversations focused on ECL's growth engines, which will account for 25% of revenues post CoolIT
acquisition, growing mid-teens. The One Ecolab initiative should unlock cross-selling opportunities
and drive an inflection in volumes in the core business. ECL remains comfortable with HSD commodity
cost increases in 2Q26/2H26. Energy surcharge pricing began rolling out starting in April and is
expected to offset headwinds by end of 2Q/early 3Q, which should help return to 12–15% EPS growth
starting 3Q26. See note for details.
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