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From Defence to Offence
Macquarie Equity Research Telstra
Spectrum update
ACMA released its finalised views on spectrum renewal pricing. Under the new pricing, it will
cost the industry A$7.32b to renew expiring spectrum licenses, ~A$20m lower than the A
$7.34b indicated in the prior round of pricing estimates in December 2025.
Following the December release, MNOs (Telstra (TLS), TPG Telecom (TPG), and Optus)
highlighted concerns that higher spectrum costs could impact investment, particularly in
regional coverage and next generation networks. Operators also advocated for lower pricing
outcomes and greater recognition of global spectrum valuation trends. However, ACMA has
broadly maintained its stance, reiterating a preference for market-based benchmarking and
noting that pricing outcomes are intended to reflect underlying market value. ACMA also
stated that pricing is applied consistently across licensees and is not expected to materially
alter underlying competitive dynamics.
On payment terms, while some submissions supported instalment structures (e.g., TPG),
ACMA has maintained upfront payments for spectrum access charges, with payments now
due ~2 months prior to licence expiry.
We outline the pricing changes below, noting that the exact financial impact will be driven by
portfolio mix across spectrum bands.
Figure 1 - ACMA spectrum renewal pricing
Preliminary Updated Finalised Increase / (decrease) License expiry Est. payment
Band
(Apr'25) (Dec'25) (May'26) from Dec'25 (%) date date
700 MHz 0.6055 - 0.7405 0.7405 0.6618 (11%) 31-Dec-29 31-Oct-29
850 MHz 0.6371 - 0.7791 0.7558 0.6703 (11%) 17-Jun-28 17-Apr-28
1800 MHz 0.1895 - 0.2356 0.3030 0.3646 20% 17-Jun-28 17-Apr-28
2 GHz 0.1583 - 0.1968 0.2757 0.3389 23% 11-Oct-32 11-Aug-32
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