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Healthcare Facilities & Managed Care "1Q26 MCO Recap: Strong Start Fueled ..."
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Healthcare Facilities & Managed Care "1Q26 MCO Recap: Strong Start Fueled ..."
Global Research
22 May 2026ab
Healthcare Facilities & Managed Care Equities
Americas1Q26 MCO Recap: Strong Start Fueled By
Seasonality; More Signs of Cost Trend Stabilizing Healthcare Providers
AJ Rice
Analyst
aj.rice@ubs.com
Still Early In The Year But Industry Indicates Confidence +1-212-713 4299
First quarters typically track to company expectations as the industry generally does not Jonathan Yong
have sufficient claims data to make meaningful changes in their underlying Analyst
assumptions, particularly in instances where there has been a significant shift in jonathan.yong@ubs.com
enrollment. Nevertheless, a majority of MCOs this quarter felt confident enough to +1-212-713 6268
increase their guidance this quarter. The size of the raises was directly tied to the beat in Michael Wei
1Q, which saw favorability from a lower respiratory season (less flu Y/Y) and general cost Associate Analyst
trend seasonality (weather). The industry remained cautious with respect to the rest of michael.wei@ubs.com
the year, but several companies signaled that if underlying business trends continue to +1-212-713 2565
perform better than expected, there will likely be further upside. James Kurek
Recovery in Government Businesses Showing Positive Indications james.kurek@ubs.com
While the 4Q25 earnings season was preceded by disappointing news on the 2027 +1-212-713 3704
Advance Notice, the 1Q26 earnings season started with improved sentiment following Joseph Overman
the meaningful increase in the final MA rate notice. The quarter itself was not Associate Analyst
significantly different than expectations for MA. However the favorable rate notice joseph.overman@ubs.com
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