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N.A. Chems & Pkg "The Daily InSpector" Spector
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N.A. Chems & Pkg "The Daily InSpector" Spector
Global Research
22 May 2026ab
N.A. Chems & Pkg Equities
AmericasThe Daily InSpector
Chemicals, Commodity
Joshua Spector, CFA
CC & SOLS over react to EPA refrigerant role change in our view Analyst
CC and SOLS stocks were down ~4% and ~6%, respectively, yesterday. This was joshua.spector@ubs.com
on news of the EPA officially pushing back refrigeration transition timelines for +1-212-713 6188
certain refrigeration, chiller and cooling markets. We suspect that SOLS was down Lucas Beaumont
more as the delayed change to Industrial Chillers in certain applications Analyst
(specifically semis), negatively impacted investor expectations of higher refrigerant lucas.beaumont@ubs.com
growth in that market in the near term. While the changes will likely lead to slower +1-212-713 4809
HFO refrigerant adoption in these markets, the EPA acknowledges this means Christopher Perrella
legacy refrigerant pricing will increase as quota limits (and future step downs) Analyst
remain in place. christopher.perrella@ubs.com
+1-212-713 1443
This means to us that the administration is not fully repealing the AIM act, but just
Anojja Shah
delaying forced transitions into certain markets. We estimate non-HFO refrigerants
Analyst
are still ~30-40% of CC and SOLS refrigerant earnings, and demand may shift anojja.shah@ubs.com
here driving pricing higher if demand increases while supply is reduced under +1-312-525 4310
global warming potential (GWP) quota phasedowns. We also estimate the areas
James Cannon
seeing delayed transitions reflect ~10% of refrigerant demand for both companies
Associate Analyst
(OEM only, UBSe). james-p.cannon@ubs.com
+1-212-713 4057 A key point in all of this is that we knew the EPA was reviewing these rules since
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