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T: Model Update Intra-Quarter Review
研报英文原文证据摘录
T: Model Update Intra-Quarter Review
AT&T Inc.
Takeaways from 1Q26 results and post-quarter developments (continued). 3) Broadband ARPU
trajectory under scrutiny. Management commentaries suggest the willingness to accept fiber
ARPU dilution in order to accelerate the penetration in the fiber footprint towards 50% and
support mobile cross-selling. While fiber ARPU growth of 1.7% included minor dilution from
the newly acquired Lumen footprint, we estimate that ARPU growth in AT&T's core footprint
was still under 2%, which we attribute to the continued push towards discounted bundled
offerings and the competitive environment overall, as cablecos are trying to find a recipe to
improve the subscriber trajectory at the expense of ARPU. In early May, the company lowered
its promotional offer for 1Gbps to $48/month from $65/month previously. We continue to
view industry developments as deflationary for the broadband industry and keep our FY26
fiber ARPU unchanged at a modest 1.4% growth y/y. The company's FWA business continued
to scale, with the majority of customers new to AT&T followed by a cohort of DSL customers
converted to fixed-wireless. 4) Wholesale fiber entity, Forged Fiber. The assets purchased
from Lumen on February 2, 2026, were put in a new subsidiary, Forged Fiber. Through 2026,
AT&T intends to sell a controlling interest in Forged Fiber to an equity partner that will co-
invest in the ongoing business. While AT&T recognizes the revenue from customers in Lumen's
footprint in the Advanced Connectivity segment, operating expenses of $95M in costs reflect the
wholesale commercial arrangements following the disposal. We estimate the network-related
costs represented ~60% of revenue in Lumen's footprint in 1Q26. Forged Fiber is classified as
discontinued operations.
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