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Trucking KPIs Mid-Month Update: Truckload Recovery Continues To Build Momentum
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Trucking KPIs Mid-Month Update: Truckload Recovery Continues To Build Momentum
Truist Securities
Equity Research Report May 19, 2026
INDUSTRIALS: Freight & Logistics
Trucking KPIs Mid-Month Update:
Truckload Recovery Continues To Build Lucas Servera
404-439-7688 Momentum Lucas.Servera@truist.com
We continue to favor LTL equities following the recent pullback in transportation stocks,
as improving freight KPIs, tightening industry capacity, and expanding industrial activity
Daniel Ighodaro increasingly support a more durable freight recovery into 2H26. In our view, ODFL and
404-439-7388 XPO remain among the best-positioned names to benefit from a cyclical recovery in Daniel.Ighodaro@truist.com
industrial-freight demand and generate operating leverage.
17 Page Document
Please see pages 3-10 for data visualization across figures 1-20
Reasons for this report How to Play The Space: In our view, Freight metrics (TRR, LTTR, Spot Rates) continue to move decisively in the right direction through mid-May, further supporting out view that
✓ Sector Update the truckload market is progressing through the later innings of the freight recession.
Importantly, tightening capacity conditions continue to outweigh still-modest freight ✓ Data-Driven Analysis
demand, driving improving spot market conditions and reinforcing confidence in a more Trucking KPIs Monthly Update: April 2026 &
durable trucking recovery into 2H26. Following the recent sell-off across transportation
May To Date equities, we continue to favor LTL carriers (Buy-rated ODFL and XPO), which we believe
offer the most compelling cyclical upside as industrial production recovers and weight
per shipment trends improve.
Tender Rejection Rates: Tender rejection rates continued to trend higher through April
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