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Wells Fargo Non-Residential Construction Tracker
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Wells Fargo Non-Residential Construction Tracker
Equity Research
Industry Update — May 19, 2026
Industrials
Wells Fargo Non-Residential Construction
Tracker
Manufacturing, Power & Data Center Acceleration
Continues
Our Call Jerry Revich, CFA
The recovery in 40% of private non-residential verticals accelerated in April led by Semis, Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Jerry.Revich@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5458
Power, and Data Centers. Reiterate positive outlook on Machinery.
Aaron Rakers, CFA
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Lead indicators are accelerating ahead of expectations in 40% of private non-res Aaron.Rakers@wellsfargo.com | 314-875-2508
construction verticals. We forecast an acceleration in private non-res construction from Joe Quatrochi, CFA
2025's -3% to +4.5% in 2026E and +6.3% in 2027E. Semis starts were +39% y/y LTM. Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Power starts were +62% LTM, and we forecast +30% Utility capex in 2026E. Data Center Joe.Quatrochi@wellsfargo.com | 314-875-2055
starts kept accelerating and are >80% above LTM capex. Retail starts improved 14% y/y. Michael Sison
We reiterate Overweight ratings on URI/HRI/CAT/DE. Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Michael.Sison@wellsfargo.com | 440-662-9664
Implications: Sam Margolin
The Machinery group continues to benefit from a supply-driven recovery, with used Sam.Margolin@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8496
earthmoving inventory down 13% y/y. We see the next leg coming from the demand Blaine Heck, CFA
side recovery. In our view, the April data supports accelerating private non-res growth Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
in 2026E (+4.5%) and 2027E (+6.3%). We reiterate Overweight ratings on OEMs Blaine.Heck@wellsfargo.com | 410-662-2556
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