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Healthcare Facilities & Managed Care "1Q26 Hospital Recap: Noisy Quarter..."
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Healthcare Facilities & Managed Care "1Q26 Hospital Recap: Noisy Quarter..."
Global Research
21 May 2026ab
Healthcare Facilities & Managed Care Equities
Americas1Q26 Hospital Recap: Noisy Quarter from
Weather and Flu, Though ACA Trending Healthcare Providers
Modestly Better; Recent DPP Approvals to AJAnalystRice
Benefit 2Q Results +1-212-713aj.rice@ubs.com4299
Joseph Overman
Associate Analyst
Weather and Flu Contribute to a Noisy 1Q joseph.overman@ubs.com
+1-212-882 0086
Unusually bad winter weather and a meaningfully lighter flu season compared to last
year both weighed on first quarter volumes and earnings. 1Q same store volumes were James Kurek
up just 0.7% on average, with each company (other than ARDT) coming in below full Analyst
james.kurek@ubs.com
year guidance ranges. HCA cited a 70 bps drag on admissions growth from the milder
+1-212-713 3704
flu season and another 30 bps of drag from the winter weather. Adjusting for this ~100
bps headwind from unusual items, HCA's SS volume growth would have been 2.3%, Jonathan Yong
Analystwithin the company's 2-3% guidance range for the full year. HCA estimated a $180 mln
jonathan.yong@ubs.com
EBITDA headwind in 1Q from flu/weather, while UHS estimated a ~$30 mln headwind
+1-212-713 6268
(both around 4.5% of total EBITDA). Given the noisy 1Q results and the significant
interest from many investors in determing "core growth" in the quarter, we expect that Michael Wei
Associate Analystinvestors will be particularly focused on deciphering inputs related to volume trends
michael.wei@ubs.com
during the second quarter. +1-212-713 2565
DPPs Boost 1Q Results; Recent Approvals in Florida and Colorado to Come in 2Q
We've seen significant movement in Medicaid DPP approvals over the past few months.
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