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Takeaways from BTIG's Annual Housing and Real Estate Conference
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Takeaways from BTIG's Annual Housing and Real Estate Conference
May 12, 2026 Takeaways from BTIG's Annual Housing
and Real Estate Conference
Ryan GilbertHOUSING (212) 527-3524 rgilbert@btig.com
WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW: We hosted Millrose Properties (MRP, Buy, $35 PT),
Forestar (FOR, Neutral), Century Communities (CCS, Under Review), as well asAND BrightView Holdings (BV, Buy, $16 PT). We updated our thoughts on BV earlier (link).
Takeaways from our meetings with CCS, FOR, and MRP are below:
■ CCS and FOR. Affordability and supply remain key topics. Demand remainsREAL
impacted by affordability and buyers require incentives to hit an acceptable pace.
The management teams noted what we are also seeing from our homebuilder
survey (link) around traffic levels: underlying demand / consumer interest is there
but will likely require lower rates and improved sentiment to unlock. BuildersESTATE
have made some progress reducing finished specs and the commentary suggested
spec inventory was trending toward more of a market or sub-market specific issue
than broad-based headwind. We heard similar commentary relating to multifamily
supply from one of our keynote speakers, who also noted that absorption was
slower than originally expected but that the vacant units could be absorbed dueSERVICES to the cost differential between renting and owning. The comment reinforces our
view that the supply challenge for homebuilders is not just finished spec but a
combination of finished spec, resale, and vacant multifamily inventory. Despite
a tough market, the management teams are not seeing any real distress among
private land sellers or builders which could create attractive opportunities. Capital
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