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APAC Focus: Global I/O Memory Semis "With Agentic AI, what will the New ..."
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APAC Focus: Global I/O Memory Semis "With Agentic AI, what will the New ..."
Global Research
20 May 2026ab
Global I/O Memory Semis Equities
GlobalAPAC Focus: With Agentic AI, what will the New
Normal be?Please Semiconductors
Nicolas Gaudois
Analyst
nicolas.gaudois@ubs.com
+65-6495 5148
Timothy Arcuri
timothy.arcuri@ubs.com
+1-415-352 5676
Jimmy Yoon
jimmy.yoon@ubs.com
+65-6495 4617
Luke Yoo
luke.yoo@ubs.com
+65-6495 6743AI,and in particular agentic AI, is adding more and more use cases for DDR5 and Gianmarco Vella
NAND flash, on top of HBM. This is fuelling an unprecedented memory upcycle, Associate Analyst
with DRAM/NAND undersupply now likely into 2Q28/4Q27. Customers are gianmarco.vella@ubs.com
+1-415-352 4555
pushing for more binding Long Term Agreements (LTAs), which we estimate could
fix c. 20-30% of total industry volumes and pricing for the next 2-3 years. This Kenji Yasui
would imply higher-for-longer ASPs and ROEs (which memory stocks are yet to Analyst
price in), but also upside to overall hyperscaler capex and memory capacity growth. kenji.yasui@ubs.com
+81-3-5208 6211
Sunny LinAgentic AI is pushing memory demand upwards on multiple fronts
Server CPU demand is strongly inflecting up, driving demand for DDR5/LPDDR5 for both sunny.lin@ubs.com
conventional server as well as AI servers (CPU head nodes). Agentic AI is a key driver, as it +886-2-8722 7346
needs CPUs and hence DDR to run sequential compute cycles whilst calling tools.
Francois-Xavier Bouvignies
Factoring in higher GPU/ASIC to CPU attach rates and the upside to server units (+19%/ Analyst
+17% YoY in '26E/'27E), we now forecast server DDR bit demand to grow 44%/70% francois.bouvignies@ubs.com
YoY in '26E/'27E, driving overall demand growth of +21%/+35% YoY in '26E/'27E. We +44-20-7568 7105
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