普通外文研报
Mar-26 Review: Marginally ahead; Strong FY27 Outlook
研报英文原文证据摘录
Mar-26 Review: Marginally ahead; Strong FY27 Outlook
of the expanded capacity in the next couple of months. 125100
Working Capital cycle expands, OCF lower y/y: Working capital days rose from 66 to 88 y/y 75
as Premier built inventories to lock in COGS to protect margins. Operating cash flow declined 5025
6% y/y to Rs 126bn. 0
. FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26
Net debt rising, return ratios strong: Company ended FY26 with a net debt of Rs 12bn. Source: Company reports, Jefferies
Company plans to invest ~Rs 100bn in FY27-28 spread evenly. We expect net debt to equity
Exhibit 2 - Premier 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA band
to rise from 0.28x in FY26 to 0.8x in FY28E. FY26 RoCE is at 25%. chart
Renewable to benefit from energy security demand, power demand recovery: We see 3833 Premier 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA
geopolitical developments in the Middle East accelerating renewable deployment to ensure 28
energy security. A favorable base and a likely El Nino is expected to boost power demand 2318
growth in FY27 aiding renewable demand. 13
Oct-24 Nov-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Aug-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Dec-25 Feb-26 Mar-26 May-26
Strong growth and favorable valuation, maintain Buy: We have left FY27/28E Ebitda 1-yr fwd EV/EBITDA Avg +1 SD -1 SD
estimates broadly unchanged. We project 33% Ebitda Cagr over FY26-28E on the back of rising .Source: Bloomberg, Jefferies
volumes from the 9.4GW order book even as we build a compression in Ebitda/Wp. Valuation
is 1 SD below mean. Maintain Buy with new PT of Rs 1,135 - at 13x FY28E EV/Ebitda.
Key risks: Upside risks - less solar PV capacity addition than expected, fall in BESS price and
upside from BESS venture. Downside risks - weak domestic solar demand, rise in silver price
and all announced capacities materializing.
FY (Mar) 2025A 2026A 2027E 2028E
Rev.
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