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Broadcom Inc. "FQ2:26 (Apr) Preview: Raising PT, Adjusting Estimates [Revised]"
研报英文原文证据摘录
Broadcom Inc. "FQ2:26 (Apr) Preview: Raising PT, Adjusting Estimates [Revised]"
.05 0 2.05
now expect AVGO's Anthropic revenues per GW to track closely to the GCP
Q2E 2.38 2.38 0 2.42
TPU revenues per GW, which we estimate is closer to the bottom of the $10-20B/
Q3E 3.30 2.80 -15 3.26
GW range. AVGO suggests the revenues vary by customer and in light of GCP's Q4E 4.41 3.36 -24 3.85
use of OCS-based scale-up networking solution, we see the AI networking 10/26E 12.16 10.60 -13 11.33
opportunity for AVGO largely limited to scale-out Ethernet portfolio (Tomahawk). 10/27E 22.56 21.14 -6 18.05
10/28E 28.59 28.59 0 22.29
The latest GCP announcement of v8i and v8t chips leads us to believe that AVGO is
the supplier for v8i (our note: Thoughts On Google’s TPU v8 Generation), Timothy Arcuri
although our conversation with AVGO suggested its roadmap is capable of both Analyst
training and inferencing, which would suggest GCP is de-risking the MediaTek v8t timothy.arcuri@ubs.com
ramp with optionality for training deployment. Interestingly, TPU v8i features both +1-415-352 5676
larger HBM (288GB vs 192GB in Ironwood) as well as 384MB of on-chip SRAM (up Natalia Winkler, CFA
from 64MB on Ironwood) and compared with 500MB in the latest Groq L3 chip. Analyst
natalia.winkler@ubs.com
We are revising our AVGO TPU units to ~3.7MM in C2026 and ~6.8MM in C2027 +1-415-352 4626
(from ~4.6MM/~7.3MM prior).
Grant Joslin
META announced a multi-year partnership with AVGO and we understand it will Analyst
include multiple inference chips. We continue to model META's XPU program grant.joslin@ubs.com
+1-201-352 0442 scaling from ~$800MM in F2025 to $3B in F2026, $8B in F2027 and $13B in
F2028 - suggesting the 1st GW (at ~$20B/GW AVGO revs) deployed over ~2yrs,
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