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US Aerospace & Defense "From A to D - feedback to our SARO upgrade to Buy ..."
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US Aerospace & Defense "From A to D - feedback to our SARO upgrade to Buy ..."
Global Research
18 May 2026ab
US Aerospace & Defense Equities
AmericasFrom A to D - feedback to our SARO upgrade to
Buy Aerospace
Gavin Parsons
Analyst
gavin.parsons@ubs.com
Feedback to our SARO upgrade was mixed +1-212-713 2389
In our weekly note, we summarize top topics, notes we've published, MAX/787 Joao Santos
tracking, and more. Associate Analyst
joao.santos@ubs.com
Top topics / sentiment / most discussed:
+1-212-713 1437
SARO upgrade: We did not receive a great deal of pushback, but neither was Max Miller
there much agreement. In fact the most common theme was a below-average Associate Analyst
level of familiarity with the business and thus low conviction in a view in either max.miller@ubs.com
direction - which in our perspective is an opportunity. Below we list the top +1-212-713 2613
areas of discussion with investors post our upgrade. Nicholas Labbadia
Associate Analyst
Private equity overhang: The most commonly cited overhang / negative.
nicholas.labbadia@ubs.com
Carlyle owns 25% and GIC owns 6% - down from 63/14% respectively +1-212-713 5573
post-IPO (per SEC filings). A tactical consideration, but one that is shrinking
and in our view in and of itself not a fundamental reason to avoid the stock.
Attractive valuation: Generally agreed, but low conviction in a clear
catalyst. We think improving cash conversion, a smaller PE overhang, and
resilient earnings should oil prices impact broader aftermarket would each
support re-rating.
Uncertain cash flow: Currently low conversion and high seasonality. This
was a key consideration of our Neutral rating post IPO until last week.
Following the large 1Q working capital build, we believe cash flow can be a
steady trend higher from here.
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