普通外文研报
Q1'26 recap: A good start with healthy underlying metrics momentum
研报英文原文证据摘录
Q1'26 recap: A good start with healthy underlying metrics momentum
Israel | Payments, Processors & IT Services
Nayax EquityMayResearch14, 2026
TARGET | ESTIMATE CHANGEQ1'26 recap: A good start with healthy
RATING BUYunderlying metrics momentum
PRICE ILS190.00^
Q1 beat was driven by strong hardware sales, more than compensating
ILS221.00 (ILS210.00) |
for the miss in payment processing, while favourable FX (strong ILS) also PRICE TARGET | % TO PT +16%
helped. Given ILS modestly strengthened further, we see FX tailwinds 52W HIGH-LOW ILS215.40 - ILS116.10
persisting in 2026, further derisking organic growth guidance. With FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 39.2% | 16.85
underlying metrics (customer, managed devices) strong, we believe MARKET CAP ILS7.1B | $2.4B
Nayax's current momentum can continue, albeit current valuation already TICKER NYAX IT
includes some inorganic growth. ^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
noted.
Q1 Recap: RATING BUY
The Positives: (1) Q1 beat with +26% organic (NYAX-def) is a good start, and with FX TICKER NYAX
tailwinds likely to persist for the greater part of the year, 2026 guidance feels achievable; PRICE $68.51^
(2) Hardware sales continue to perform, partly pushed due to the 2G upgrade cycle which PRICE TARGET | % TO PT $79.80 ($65.22) | +16%
came through later than expected as VPOS Media for Europe wasn't ready yet in mid-2025;
(3) Customer net adds (+5k) remained strong; pointing to the experienced strong underlying
growth momentum. FY (Dec) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS
2026 2027 2026 2027
The Negatives: (1) TPV solid, but still below our expectations, despite FX tailwinds, pointing REV NM NM +2% +1%
towards fewer EV tailwinds than we anticipated, which is more likely a timing than execution EPS +12% +5% +7% +3%
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