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CBSH: Takeaways from Mgmt Meetings at Our Chicago Conference
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CBSH: Takeaways from Mgmt Meetings at Our Chicago Conference
Equity Research
Flash Comment — May 14, 2026
Mid-Cap Banks
Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
Takeaways from Mgmt Meetings at Our Chicago Conference Equal Weight
Price Target: $53.00
Ticker CBSH
Our Call Upside/(Downside) to Target 3.8%
Our mtg w/ CBSH's Chief Credit Officer David Orf and head of Corp Development Price (05/14/2026) $51.04
Matthew Burkemper highlighted the benefits of the Finemark deal (Jan 1 close), esp 52 Week Range $46.99 - 63.19
talent & culture w/ savings and rev synergies coming in '27 (post 4Q systems conversion). Market Cap (MM) $7,445
Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities estimates, and Factset.
Initial Thoughts NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
Deals. We think it would be unlikely for Commerce to enter into an agreement to buy Christopher Spahr, CFA
another bank over the next year simply because the teams responsible for vetting the Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Christopher.Spahr@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5301
next deal are currently occupied with the Finemark integration (4Q26 target). Regardless,
smaller bolt-ons seem more likely in footprint or growth markets. Juan Recalde, CFA
Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Join our Bank Takeovers and Regulation w/ Lawyer Luminary Rodgin Cohen on May 26 at Juan.Recalde@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5287
2pm ET - ask your sales representative. Mike Mayo, CFA
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Mike.Mayo@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5300
Capital priorities. Buybacks likely remain elevated given muted loan growth, high capital
levels (CET1 17.3%), and valuation. Mgmt considers the stock to be inexpensive. B3 can
add almost 100bps to CET1. We think buybacks can be closer to the 1Q-level ($84M)
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