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European Banks "Chart of the week #43: Updating bank niche risk ...[Erratum]"
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European Banks "Chart of the week #43: Updating bank niche risk ...[Erratum]"
Global Research
15 May 2026ab
European Banks Equities
Europe including UKChart of the week #43: Updating bank niche risk
disclosures [Erratum] Banks
Jason Napier, CFA
Analyst
jason.napier@ubs.com
By Friday, sometimes what's wanted is a picture and fewer words +44-20-7568 5037
With so much research out there, we get the sense that sometimes investors just want to Ignacio Cerezo
be shown one thing to think about, driven by data and not opinion, with minimal text Analyst
and fanfare. Show, don't tell, is the idea behind the Chart of the Week, planned for most ignacio.cerezo@ubs.com
Fridays and good with coffee. +44-20-7568 4409
Sanjena Dadawala
Chart #43: Non-bank financial exposure, software lending, leveraged loans... Analyst
Investors are still focused on pockets of potentially higher credit risk within niche loan sanjena.dadawala@ubs.com
and debt securities books, incentivised by rapid growth in that debt pool and material +44-20-7567 0753
provisions taken in 1Q by Barclays and HSBC in particular (the latter a surprise at $0.4bn Johan Ekblom, CFA
in a $3bn securitisation finance portfolio). We update our sector-wide scorecard of bank Analyst
disclosures with new information shared at 1Q. johan.ekblom@ubs.com
+44-20-7568 3580
Our view remains i) losses so far are driven by fraud, not deteriorating credit conditions, Alvaro Fernandez-Garayzabal
ii) the pool is so big that other charges are virtually assured and, given investor interest, Analyst
alvaro.fernandez-garayzabal@ubs.com
those provisions will achieve media prominence, so iii) we are likely to see a reduction in
+34-91-436 9622
credit availability in some quarters (that's worth monitoring, in our view, given high
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