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Royal Caribbean (RCL) - Management Meeting Takeaways...
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Royal Caribbean (RCL) - Management Meeting Takeaways...
Consumer
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES (RCL) May 13, 2026
Royal Caribbean (RCL) - Management Meeting Rating:
Takeaways... Outperform
Price:
We caught up with Royal Caribbean's Blake Vanier (IR) and had the following key $258.12
takeaways. Price Target:
$318
●RCL is targeting +MSD yields in Q4, driven by easier YoY comps, new hardware % Upside:
23.2% (Legend), and the continued ramp of private beach club destinations.
●Icon class ships continue to book at significant premiums (+50-70%) and has Source: FactSet, Wolfe Research
resulted in a step change in the yield premium on new hardware. Priced as of 05/12/26
●2027 Yield outlook not yet expected to maintain the 4Q run-rate of +MSD as Greg Badishkanian
the step up is really specific to that quarter. gbadishkanian@wolferesearch.com
●No notable impact to bookings or pricing from Hantavirus, but the team (646) 582-9340
View Greg’s Research
continues to monitor the headlines. View RCL Model
●Caribbean capacity is still likely to be up +MSD in 2027 after a healthy increase View Comp Table
in 2026. Catherine Lee
clee@wolferesearch.com
The broader market has returned to normal following the start of the Iran conflict. (646) 582-9341
The Iran conflict caused roughly 6 weeks of booking disruptions for Mediterranean Spencer Hanus
cruises, which had a structural negative impact to the guide, though bookings and shanus@wolferesearch.com
pricing have started to stabilize. During the disruption, management shifted the (646) 582-9344 View Spencer’s Research
sourcing strategy, which resulted in losing some higher-priced bookings to maintain
volumes. Travis Harbauer tharbauer@wolferesearch.com
(646) 582-9343
Management continues to target 20% EPS CAGR from 2024–2027 in their Perfecta
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