普通外文研报
Q1 Results Represent Positive Step; Trends Consistent with Peers
研报英文原文证据摘录
Q1 Results Represent Positive Step; Trends Consistent with Peers
Paper & Forest Products
Interfor Corp.
TD SECURITIES INC. - CANADA QUICK TAKE: EARNINGS UPDATE
May 14, 2026
Price: C$8.92 (05/14/2026) Q1 Results Represent Positive Step; Trends
Price Target: C$12.00 Consistent with Peers
HOLD (2)
ESG SCORE: 54/100
Sean Steuart, CFA^ THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
416 308 3399
IFP's Q1 results benefited from a sharp lumber price recovery and a favorable inventory
sean.steuart@tdsecurities.com
revaluation. With recent credit facility amendments, IFP has augmented balance sheet
Kasia Trzaski Kopytek, CFA, CPA, CA^ flexibility, but, with high leverage ratios, we expect a mid-term focus on strengthening the
416 983 4058 balance sheet. The recent pullback in lumber prices - especially in the U.S. South - suggests
kasia.trzaski@tdsecurities.com
the cyclical recovery will be bumpy.
Key Data
Symbol TSX: IFP-T Event
Market Cap C$586.6MM IFP reported Q1/26 results yesterday after market close. Adjusted EBITDA of $30.7 million
exceeded our estimate of $23.5 million and the consensus forecast of $22.9 million. The
reported figure included a non-cash $12.9 million inventory provision reversal that was a
larger than expected support. Underlying trends were consistent with most peers this earnings
season — price realization gains that led to sequential earnings improvement.
Conference call at 11:00 a.m. ET this morning: 1-888-510-2154 or webcast.
Impact: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
The headline result should be well received, but we do not expect a linear earnings recovery.
Following a strong recovery from October through April, lumber prices have moderated as
logistics constraints have eased, and seasonal order activity has moderated.
Details
■IFP's Q1 results benefited from the company's U.S.
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