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BIPS of Info: Time spent with ROL, CTAS & ECL (& callbacks with VSTS, WSC)
研报英文原文证据摘录
BIPS of Info: Time spent with ROL, CTAS & ECL (& callbacks with VSTS, WSC)
Barclays | BIPS of Info
hard to be convicted about a Uniform Services company with consistently negative uniform
sales – we’ll look to see the 4Q turn to positive sales and continued progress on initiatives. We
raise our PT to $9 from $6 as a function of revising our estimates higher to raised guide ranges
for adj. EBITDA & the notable increase in FCF. We apply a multiple of ~ 7x our CY'27 VSTS adj.
EBITDA of $338mn vs. our prior ~6.5x CY'27 VSTS adj. EBITDA of $323mn. We increase our
multiple to reflect our incremental constructivism.
• WSC’s EPS call happened last week while we were on the road in Europe, but we caught
up with the team this week and were encouraged by the clean beat (Figure 3) & raise
(Figure 4) – albeit vs. conservative guide and low expectations. We think the stock price
pop (+20.5% vs. +0.8% for SPX) was partly due to low expectations & high short interest, as
WSC remains a show me, needing consistency. With that said, 1Q was a clear step up in
execution credibility, even if just incremental. From an industry perspective a few things to
call out, too:
° The turn in activations – modular now positive for two quarters and storage inflecting for
the first time since ~2022 – could confirm a bottom in key leading indicators. Yet, it's still
early-cycle: activation momentum needs to persist for several quarters before UOR
stabilize and ultimately grow, keeping the recovery gradual.
° Leasing revenue inflection in 2H26 is directionally positive but modest in magnitude –
fundamentals improving sequentially rather than snapping back. However, with (this
modest inflection &) true volume recovery still likely a 2027 event, we view this as
confirmation of direction, not arrival.
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