普通外文研报
Not Immune From Quick Service Burger Challenges
研报英文原文证据摘录
Not Immune From Quick Service Burger Challenges
Restaurants
Jack In The Box
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC ESTIMATE CHANGES
May 13, 2026
Price: $12.79 (05/13/2026) Not Immune From Quick Service Burger
Price Target: $12.00 Challenges
HOLD (2)
ESG SCORE: 54/100
Andrew M. Charles, CFA THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
646 562 1332
Within lowered 2026 SSS guidance of -LSD%, management is embedding a 2H recovery
andrew.charles@tdsecurities.com
from operational improvement and marketing while lapping easier comparisons. We are
Agnes Lim encouraged by progress with Jack on Track on lowering the leverage ratio and pruning
646 562 1365 underperforming stores that should benefit the system health longer term, though the
agnes.lim@tdsecurities.com
company still has its work cut out.
Zach Ogden, CFA
646 562 1355 Lowering F2026 Same Store Sales to -2.8% From -2.0%
zach.ogden@tdsecurities.com
Jack lowered 2026 SSS guidance to -LSD%, from -1% to +1% previously, following 2Q's miss.
Key Data Mgmt noted flattish QTD SSS with expectation for a positive exit rate into 4Q. We note
Symbol NYSE: JACK
pre-release consensus 3Q and 4Q were at 1.7% and 2.7% respectively. Encouragingly, 2Q's
Beta: 1.47 negative transaction growth improved throughout the quarter. Meanwhile, Jack will roll over
52-Week Range: $25.67-$9.40 value efforts in F3Q25 that mgmt expects will benefit 3Q check growth.
Market Cap: $243.5MM
We lower our 3Q and 4Q SSS to Flat and 1%, from 1.9% and 2.5% previously. Mgmt noted
Net Debt (MM): $2,530.6
2H26 SSS inflection will mainly be driven by operational improvement, demand during 3Q's
Cash/Share: $(0.51)
World Cup, bringing back of Jibbies merchandise, upcoming Hot Ones promotions and an
Dil. Shares Out (MM): 19.2
undisclosed collaboration in F4Q that mgmt expects to be impactful.
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