普通外文研报
EURAZEO (+) : Non material data changes
研报英文原文证据摘录
EURAZEO (+) : Non material data changes
Investment case, valuation and risks
Eurazeo (Outperform, Target Price EUR67)
Investment case
Eurazeo's shift to a dual business model reduces its risk profile in our view and
should be a catalyst for a re-rating and a reduction in the discount to NAV. Growth in
third-party asset management is rapid and should remain strong over the next 6
years. But reaching the aim of having >50% of the EV tied to asset management will
be a long process given the current split is 25% in asset management and 75% from
the investment portfolio. However, support from management and the main
shareholders to accelerate this transition could be major catalysts in the short to
medium term.
Indeed, the company intends to accelerate the rotation of its balance sheet along with
reducing the re-investment needs. This would free up a significant amount of cash to
reinvest in asset management through M&A and do sizeable share buybacks. Both
moves could trigger a re-rating.
Overall, the investment portfolio is of good quality in buyout but 25% of Eurazeo's
portfolio is invested in venture and growth where many companies are not profitable.
This warrants caution.
Valuation methodology
Our TP is based on an SOTP where we value the fund management company
separately with FRE post tax 2027 valued on 12x for the private assets, 6x for FRE
coming from IM Global and PRE at 40% discount to the private assets FRE multiple.
We apply a 40% discount to the investment portfolio ex growth and venture for which
we use a 50% discount.
Risks
To the upside:
Eurazeo delivers on its portfolio exit programme and uses the cash for M&A to grow in
asset management and increase share buybacks. The third-party asset management
business scales faster than expected.
To the downside:
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