普通外文研报
Post 1Q26: Main Character Energy–Momentum Increases Upside Potential for PTGX
研报英文原文证据摘录
Post 1Q26: Main Character Energy–Momentum Increases Upside Potential for PTGX
Estimates in $
will support pipeline diversification and clinical development. Aided with a potential (FY-Dec.) 2025A 2026E 2027E
rusfertide approval and launch on the horizon, Protagonist is poised to perform into the
Revenue (mm) $46.0 $574.4↑ $141.1↓
remainder of 2026 and beyond as growing revenues support development.
EPS $(2.05) $4.81↑ $(2.33)↓
With Icotyde recently approved, investors are looking to initial launch indicators,
with a near-term focus on 2Q26 product revenues (FY26 royalties $13M BMOCM Valuation
vs. $7M cons.). As outlined by Protagonist and Johnson and Johnson's (JNJ, Not Rated) 2025A 2026E 2027E
Icotyde collaboration agreement, Protagonist is entitled to up to $580M in additional P/E NM 20.6x NM
regulatory/milestone payments, and tiered royalties (6–10% where the higher end will QTR. EPS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
be triggered upon ~$4B in Icotyde revenues). While readout timing for ongoing Ph 3 2025A $(0.19) $(0.55) $(0.62) $(0.69)
psoriatic arthritis, ulcerative colitis, and Crohn's disease trials are yet to be disclosed
2026E $0.05a $2.17 $(0.23) $2.88(potential for Icotrokinra ICONIC-PsA-1 data in 2H given May 2026 PCD), a string of
clinical catalysts beyond 2026 highlight room for share upside into the decade.
Clinical development advances with trial initiations across indications in 2H26+,
which could contribute to increased diversity of Protagonist's pipeline. Ph 1 trial
initiations for triple-agonist obesity assets PN-477sc (subQ)/PN-477o (oral) are expected
in 2H26/1Q27 and oral hepcidin asset PN-8047 in 2H26. IL-17 oral antagonist PN-881
is advancing where Ph 1 completion and a Ph 2 plaque psoriasis trial initiation are
slated for 2H26.
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