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Under Armour Inc "Disappointing 4Q Report, but Not Thesis Changing;..."
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Under Armour Inc "Disappointing 4Q Report, but Not Thesis Changing;..."
Global Research
13 May 2026ab
Under Armour Inc Equities
AmericasDisappointing 4Q Report, but Not Thesis
Changing; Reiterate Buy Retailers, Apparel
12-month rating Buy *
12m price target US$10.00We expect UAA's EPS to rebound from trough levels:
Prior : US$11.00
UAA’s 4Q26 report, which included below-consensus FY27 revenue and EPS guides,
suggests the company’s ongoing strategic reset will potentially take a bit longer to Price (13 May 2026) US$5.11
materialize into financial results than we previously anticipated. Yet, we maintain our RIC: UAA.N BBG: UAA US
conviction in mgmt's ability to steer UAA’s turnaround. Our view is the company is
taking several deliberate actions which are weighing on near-term financial Trading data and key metrics
performance, but we believe are ultimately necessary for the business to achieve 52-wk range US$8.14-4.17
durable, more profitable growth over the long-term. Furthermore, with UAA’s stock Market cap. US$2.18b
falling 17% over the event, we believe much of the negative news is already priced in, Shares o/s 426m (COM)
and we believe the upside/downside skew leans to the upside from here. This is why we Free float 84%
maintain our Buy rating. We forecast a 54% 5-yr. EPS CAGR off of a low base. Avg. daily volume ('000) 1,895
Avg. daily value (m) US$12.1
Five stats which suggest UAA’s underlying turnaround is still progressing: Common s/h equity (03/27E) US$1.41b
1) Excluding potential benefits tied to tariff refunds, UAA expects underlying gross P/BV (03/27E) 1.5x
margins to expand 70-120 bps y/y in FY27 driven by improved assortment pricing, Net debt to EBITDA (03/27E) 3.3x
reduced promotions, and a more favorable channel mix. 2) UAA has reduced its SKUs by
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