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Indian IT Services 4Q Review: Mid-tier outperforming in a lacklustre sector
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Indian IT Services 4Q Review: Mid-tier outperforming in a lacklustre sector
12 May 2026
Indian IT Services EquitiesIT Services
4Q Review: Mid-tier outperforming in a lacklustre sector India
◆ 4Q was a miss by top-tier IT companies and a beat by mid-tier
(on average), particularly in terms of FY27 outlook Yogesh Aggarwal*
Head of Research, India
HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private
◆ With global AI spending still robust (and top 4 hyper-scalers’ Limited
growth/capex accelerating), IT services lack near-term triggers yogeshaggarwal@hsbc.co.in+91 22 2268 1246
Prateek Maheshwari*, CFA
◆ We like INFY, TechM, and Coforge (all Buy); cut Cyient TP to Analyst, India IT Services
INR870 from INR915, keep KPIT TP at INR735, rate both Hold HSBCLimitedSecurities and Capital Markets (India) Private
prateek.maheshwari@hsbc.co.in
+9198 1937 0718
IT 4Q results characterised by softer quarter and guidance from top-tier IT
Sagar Desai*
companies and relatively better quarter and outlook by mid-tier IT companies: Analyst, India IT Services
HCLT was the biggest disappointment of the quarter, though INFY guidance was a HSBC Securities and Capital Markets (India) Private
Limited
bit softer than expected as well. Both the companies alluded to AI deflationary sagar.desai@hsbc.co.in
impact. TCS outlook was inline, while CTSH positively surprised by not changing its +91 83 6919 9927
guidance. Wipro disappointed again, while TechM and LTIM were in line.
* Employed by a non-US affiliate of HSBC Securities (USA) Inc, and is
Overall, top-tier was clearly a miss vs consensus. On the other hand, mid-tier did not registered/ qualified pursuant to FINRA regulations
better (both 4Q and outlook). Coforge’s margin and FCF guidance upgrades stood
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