REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM.O)
Research evidence excerpt
Flash |
15 Sep 2026 19:47:39 ET │ 11 pages
Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM.O)
2Q26 Revs in line While Adj. OP Was Decent Beat
CITI'S TAKE
TCOM reported 2Q26 results with rev up 6% yoy to Rmb15.7bn, inline
with Citi/BBG consensus of Rmb15.55/15.61bn. By segments,
accommodation revs increased 6% yoy to Rmb6.6bn, 3% below Citi’s
estimate likely due to return of hotel deposits, transportation ticketing
decreased 1% yoy to Rmb5.4bn, 2% above Citi’s estimate, packaged-tour
rev grew 8% yoy to Rmb1.2bn, 3% below Citi’s estimate, and corporate
travel rev increased 11% yoy to Rmb771mn, 2% below Citi’s estimate, while
others increased 23% yoy to Rmb1.81bn, 16% above Citi’s estimate. GPM
recorded at 79.8% vs. 79.5% in 1Q26, vs. Citi estimate of 79.9%, while
Non-GAAP S&M, R&D and admin (excluding penalty impact) to rev ratio
reached 24.1/22.1/5.8%, vs. Citi estimates of 24.2/23.5/5.6%, with nonGAAP OPM at 27.9%, beating Citi estimate of 26.6%. Non-GAAP
earnings recorded at Rmb4.80bn, vs. Citi/consensus of Rmb4.1/4.1bn.
Buy
Price (15 Sep 26 16:00)
US$39.25
Target price
US$62.00
Expected share price return
58.0%
Expected dividend yield
0.8%
Expected total return
58.7%
Market Cap
US$25,654M
Brian GongAC
Alicia Yap, CFA
Operating metrics — Revenues on TCOM's global OTA platform have increased by +852-2501-2773
Nelson Cheung
Implications — We view TCOM’s 2Q26 results as decent with adj. OP above
consensus despite the anti-monopoly penalty. Revs were largely in line, with weak
hotel revs likely due to the return of hotel deposits per regulatory requirement, which
was offset by slightly better-than-expected transportation and other decent
revs. With GP slightly above our expectation, inline S&M and better-than-expected
cost control on product development cost, TCOM’s adj. OPM came in at 27.9%
excluding the penalty, ahead of our expectation of 26.6%. Nonetheless, we believe
investors’ key focuses should be on 1) ST and LT take rate outlook given recent
adjustment on commission mechanism, 2) updates on latest performance of travel
industry and outlook, and 3) updates on the company’s strategy on hotel ahead, 4)
…
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