REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Equity Snap: Alibaba Group (BABA US): June Q results largely in-line
Research evidence excerpt
20 August 2026
Equity Snap: Alibaba Group
(BABA US)
Equities
Internet Software & Services
June Q results largely in-line
China
◆ Cloud continued to accelerate to 45% yoy; the segmental
margin also beat expectation reaching 12%
Alibaba Group (BABA US, USD128.90, Buy, TP USD170.00; 89988 HK,
CNY106.90, Buy, TP CNY142.00; 9988 HK, HKD124.20, Buy, TP HKD166.00)
(Priced as of 19 Aug 2026)
Revenue rose 9% y-o-y to RMB269.0bn, broadly in line with HSBCe and consensus.
CMR: Reported CMR was in line with HSBCe, down 7% y-o-y or +1% like for
like.
Cloud: AI Cloud and Compute Services (Cloud Intelligence Group + T-Head)
revenue grew 45% y-o-y to RMB48bn, with both total and external revenues up
45%. AI-related product revenue was RMB12.4bn (vs. RMB9.0bn in March Q),
and posted triple-digit growth for the 12th straight quarter. Capex was RMB68bn,
+75% y-o-y.
Charlene Liu*
Head of Internet and Gaming Research, Asia Pacific
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation
Limited, Singapore Branch
Charlotte Wei*
Analyst, Internet Research
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
Lauren Cai*
Associate
Guangzhou
* Employed by a non-US affiliate of HSBC Securities (USA) Inc, and is
not registered/ qualified pursuant to FINRA regulations
International e-commerce: Revenue was RMB27.8bn, down 1% y-o-y.
Adjusted EBITA declined 30% y-o-y to RMB27.3bn, 3-7% ahead of HSBCe and
consensus, implying an adjusted EBITA margin of 10.2%. The beat was due to better
than expected cloud margin. As for the c6ppt decline, it was primarily due to
investment in technology (including AI), partly offset by improved operating results in
Cloud and enhanced operating efficiencies across various businesses. Non-GAAP
net income attributable to ordinary shareholders fell 42% y-o-y to RMB20.6bn, with
7.7% margin (down c6ppt) – largely in line with HSBCe but 19% below consensus.
Shareholder return update: Alibaba repurchased 1.7m ADSs for USD162m during
the quarter, equivalent to c.0.1% its market cap.
AI update: Backed by T-Head’s in-house chip portfolio, Zhenwu chips have achieved
broad commercial adoption via Alibaba Cloud, with 650+ external customers across
…
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