REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Key data on ScienTex
Research evidence excerpt
Global Markets Research
Scientex STIK.KL SCI MK
19 August 2026
EQUITY: MATERIALS
Packaging segment benefiting from cost-optimization efforts
Rating
Remains
Structurally higher packaging margins, a bigger property
book; raising TP to MYR4.40
Target price
Increased from
MYR 4.13
MYR 4.40
Closing price
17 August 2026
MYR 3.78
Implied upside
+16.4%
Raising our earnings estimates by 3%/14% for FY26F/27F
We update our Scientex model with its FY25 numbers and roll forward our assumptions to
extend our forecast horizon to FY28F. Additionally, we make two changes to our
operating assumptions. In Packaging, we now assume a sustained 15% EBITDA margin
for FY26F and onwards (previously ~12%), reflecting an improved cost structure and
product mix. In Property, we lift our revenue assumptions on a stronger launch and
unbilled-sales pipeline, while normalizing the divisional EBITDA margin to 28.1% for
FY26F and onwards (previously ~28.7%), as earnings come off a high base. Overall, we
raise group core net profit estimates by ~3% for FY26F and ~14% for FY27F.
Buy
Market Cap (USD mn)
1,449.7
ADT (USD mn)
Relative performance chart
Packaging: we see the margin recovery as structural
We had previously assumed Packaging's EBITDA margin would settle back towards ~12%
over our forecast horizon. However, as per our last note on Scientex’s 3QFY26 results , the
packaging operating margin (segment PBT upon segment revenue) reached 11.6% in
3QFY26 (up 3.6pp q-q and up 6pp y-y), lifting 9MFY26 packaging operating margin to 9.0%
(vs 5.7% in 9MFY25, up 3.3pp y-y). This was achieved with plant utilization broadly flat at
~62%. In our view, The improvement reflects operational efficiency rather than volume
leverage, and according to management, it is not solely an ASP effect (details on page 4 ).
Valuation: raising SOTP-based TP to MYR4.40
We continue to value Scientex on an SOTP-based valuation methodology. Accounting for
the earnings upward revisions, our SOTP-derived TP rises to MYR4.13 (from MYR4.13).
The uplift in our TP is driven almost entirely by the higher Packaging free cash flow; the
Property leg is broadly unchanged as higher GDV is offset by the lower margin
assumptions.…
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