REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Assicurazioni Generali SpA (GASI.MI): 2Q results first take: All divisions progressing well
Research evidence excerpt
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06 Aug 2026 13:41:01 ET │ 11 pages
Assicurazioni Generali SpA (GASI.MI)
2Q results first take: All divisions progressing well
CITI'S TAKE
A small beat at the operating profit level but with lots of positives
underlying that we think should be taken well. The P&C loss ratio
(adjusted) improved 40bps y-o-y, with non-motor growth accelerating led
by the newly-formed Redion (Europ Assistance and friends). Life net flows
were strong in the discrete quarter with Asia and Germany key highlights.
Italy saw outflows on product focus and lapses improved. The Q2 NBM
improved 90bps y-o-y. A&WM drove most of the headline beat with
higher revenue margins a key driver. Solvency was in-line. Overall all
divisions appear healthy and progressing well with no particular negatives
to call out. Shares should respond well tomorrow.
Buy
Price (06 Aug 26 17:35)
Target price
Expected share price return
Expected dividend yield
Expected total return
Market Cap
Earnings summary — Q2 Operating Profit is a 6% beat on consensus mainly due to
A&WM (+25%). Net income was a 15% beat. In P&C, results were in-line, but there
were a number of moving parts with the underlying Loss Ratio continuing to
improve. The COR of 92.5% was 10bps higher than consensus with higher Nat Cats
(+60bps) offset by higher PYD (-70bps). The undiscounted CY loss ratio ex Nat Cat
rose 40bps due to higher Man Made losses (+30bps) and reinstatement premiums
(+20bps) as well as some other items (+30bps). Excluding these, the Q2 underlying
loss ratio improved by 40bps y-o-y. Price effects moderated a little at 1H with Motor
increases slowing from 5.0% at FY to 3.9% at 1H, non-motor from to 4.1% to 3.8%,
and A&H from 5.3% to 5.0% Non-motor premium growth (ex Argentina) accelerated
from 5.0% at Q1 to 6.8% in Q2 supported by the newly formed Redion (including
Europ Assistance) +23% at 1H. L&H was broadly in-line also absorbing a €30m oneoff experience variance. Lapse experience improved and net flows of €4.0bn in 2Q
were ahead of our €3.0bn estimate, with Asia and Germany seeing strong flows
partly offset by outflows in Italy – said to be due to a focus on higher value products.
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