REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
2Q26: Strong Execution Drives EBITDA Beat; OW
Research evidence excerpt
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M
Update
August 7, 2026 03:26 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC
Telecom Argentina | Latin America
Cesar A Medina
Equity Analyst
2Q26: Strong Execution Drives
EBITDA Beat; OW
Morgan Stanley México, Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.+
Ernesto Gonzalez
Equity Analyst
Morgan Stanley C.T.V.M. S.A.+
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Gabriel Vaz de Lima
Unchanged
Modest upside
Modest revision higher
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Research Associate
Telecom Argentina (TEO.N, TEO UN)
Latin America Telecom | Argentina
+10% EBITDA beat on cost efficiencies as growth remains above
inflation. The stock is yet to price synergies/market repair for
upcoming TEF integration and we remain OW.
Investment thesis: TEO delivered in-line revenues, but EBITDA was 10% above our
estimate, as broad-based cost efficiencies (mainly in labor-related expenses) drove
margins to 36.8%, up 9.2pp YoY and 3.2pp above MSe (TEO stand-alone reached
40.8%). The stock continues to move in-line with MSCI Argentina (chart), suggesting
the market is pricing limited M&A benefits. Thus, we remain OW on: 1) continued
strong organic execution and 2) synergies from the TMA acquisition, as the company
complies with the regulatory remedies.
TEO reported ARS1,615bn in revenues, +1.5% YoY in real terms (excl. Telefonica;
vs. +1.6% in 1Q26 and +1.5% vs. MSe). Main segment highlights below consider just
Telecom's operations (i.e., excl. Telefonica acquisition) and historical comparisons
Stock Rating
Industry View
Shr price, close (Aug 6, 2026)
Price target
Mkt cap, curr (mm)
52-Week Range
Fiscal Year Ending
Overweight
No Rating
US$13.80
US$17.00
US$5,944
US$16.24-6.26
12/25 12/26e 12/27e 12/28e
Revenue, net (Ar$ mm) 7,604,72 10,468,6 11,867,2 13,861,8
9
72
97
14
EBITDA (Ar$ mm)**
2,303,39 3,486,31 4,092,40 4,914,99
5
6
7
2
EPS (US$)**
(0.28)
1.54
0.88
1.26
Prior EPS (US$)**
P/E
NM
8.9
15.8
11.0
EPS (US$)§
0.25
1.67
0.90
1.45
Div yld (%)
0.0
1.8
Unless otherwise noted, all metrics are based on Morgan Stanley ModelWare
framework
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