REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
British American Tobacco: Off the 1H26 Conference Call
Research evidence excerpt
British American Tobacco: Off the 1H26 Conference Call
h of Velo Max and
Vuse flavored pods, as well as behind combustible portfolio in a highly dynamic
market. Growth will moderate in H2 as positive inventory movements do not
repeat, and BAT laps a stronger comparator.
APMEA improvement: BAT expect further sequential performance recovery in
H2, supported by our commercial actions and investments in both combustibles
and new category, and a softer comparator in Australia.
Fit2Win savings: Incremental £100m savings (to £700m by 2028) will require
incremental one-off £100m investment (to £950m, of which £620m is cash; with
majority of cost this).
H2 performance: US performance lapping a stronger comparator; accelerating
AME performance; further sequential recovery in APMEA. H2 EBIT acceleration led
by further improvement in New Category contribution and savings from Fit2Win.
US performance: The company believes it is the best position to win in total
nicotine and continue to capture value in the world's largest nicotine value pool.
The company captured c90% share of growth in nicotine pouches and >100% in
vapour. The company will launch Vuse flavours starting in Q3 with targeted
distribution to c25k stores ensuring underage access prevention.
Nicotine pouches: In the US volume share reached 31% and value share almost
26%. The company will launch Velo Max (higher moisture offering in two new
strengths and four new flavours in Q3) and limited edition Velo Plus variants. Velo
is the No.1 global player with 39% volume share in H1 vs #2 player at 33%. This
reflects a 63% volume share (and 68.5% value share) in AME markets, vs #2 player
at 9%.
Heated tobacco: Industry volume growth slowed further in 1H26 to +7% (FY25
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