REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
UCB 1H‘26 results - underwhelming, but does not deserve -14%
Research evidence excerpt
UCB 1H‘26 results - underwhelming, but does not deserve -14%
line (with acquisitions) were better than last November. While UCB faces competitor
12/27E 13.21 13.44 2 13.12
readouts in H2'26, which adds pressure on sentiment, UCB is trading at 13x / 11x 12/28E 15.76 16.10 2 15.79
2028/29 P/E, broadly in line with sector average despite sector leading growth with no
major patent cliff. We think the valuation becomes hard to justify at this level, reiterate Xian Deng, PhD, CFA
Buy. Analyst
xian.deng@ubs.com
+44-20-7901 6285
Our key takeaways from the call include:
Nusrat Hossain
Bimzelx near term: UCB commented that near term net price erosion expected Associate Analyst
for Bimzelx, as UCB improved mix towards 1L coverage as of June for Bimzelx. This nusrat.hossain@ubs.com
is from a contract with one major payor, now with Bimzelx in 1L in all indications. +44-20-7883 1586
Management commented that this contract is from a payor with no 1L coverage Matthew Weston, PhD
for Bimzelx previously. Management believes that this will bring +ve volume Analyst
impact especially in the longer term. Having said that, when asked about matthew.weston@ubs.com
VA consensus Bimzelx FY26 sales at EUR3.3bn, management commented that +44-20-7567 4055
they are "comfortable" with consensus, despite net price erosion in H2. UCB
confirmed that one major payor still excludes Bimzelx in HS.
Bimzelx HS competitor landscape: When asked about competitor P3 readouts
(NOVN BTKi remibrutinib P3 and ABBV's IL-1 lutikizumab both due H2'26),
management commented that IL17A/F plays a very central role in HS, and they do
not see any pipeline assets that could deliver superior efficacy than Bimzelx from
Highlights (€m) 12/23 12/24 12/25 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E 12/29E 12/30E
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