REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
First Read AngloGold Ashanti Limited 2Q26 disappoints, but guidance maintained
Research evidence excerpt
First Read AngloGold Ashanti Limited 2Q26 disappoints, but guidance maintained
African earnings UBS Cons.
resulting in EBITDA, earnings and free cash flow below expectations. 12/26E 1,021.20 954.70
12/27E 1,095.03 1,042.90
Q: Has the company's outlook/guidance changed? 12/28E 968.83 979.60
A: No. Management maintained FY26 production, cost and capital expenditure
Steve Friedman
guidance and continues to expect production to be weighted towards 2H26. Investor
Analyst
focus is therefore likely to shift to execution in the second half, particularly the recovery steve.friedman@ubs.com
at Obuasi, delivery of the anticipated production uplift and whether higher volumes can +27-11-322 7252
translate into lower unit costs and improved cash generation. The company also
Myles Allsop
reiterated its commitment to shareholder returns following approval of the $2bn share
buyback programme, with further detail on implementation likely to be a key discussion myles.allsop@ubs.com
point. +44-20-7568 1693
Ndumiso Lushaba
Q: How would we expect investors to react? Associate Analyst
A: We expect investors to focus on the weaker-than-expected profitability, dividend and ndumiso.lushaba@ubs.com
cash generation rather than the broadly in-line production outcome. While guidance +27-11-322 7094
was maintained and production benefited from a strong Tropicana contribution, the
misses at EBITDA, earnings and free cash flow are likely to dominate discussions. The key
debate now shifts to whether the expected 2H26 production uplift, particularly the
recovery at Obuasi following operational disruptions during the quarter, can restore
margin performance, improve cash conversion and support stronger shareholder
returns.Management will host a results presentation at 3:00pm SAST (webcast).
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