REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Jun-Q Results: Earnings Solid Even Excluding Tariff Refund and Yen Depreciation Benefits
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Update
July 31, 2026 03:37 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd.+
Sony Group (6758) | Japan
Kazuo Yoshikawa, CFA
Equity Analyst
Jun-Q Results: Earnings Solid
Even Excluding Tariff Refund
and Yen Depreciation Benefits
AlphaSignals Earnings Reaction
Hidetaka Suzuki
Research Associate
Sony Group (6758.T, 6758 JT)
Unchanged
Modest upside
Modest revision higher
Impact to our thesis
Financial results versus consensus
Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
1Q (Jun-Q) results: 1Q operating profit was ¥476.5bn, above our forecast of
¥360.0bn. Earnings were supported by yen depreciation, which contributed around
¥52.0bn YoY, and the impact of a US tariff refund, which we estimate at around
¥55.0bn based on company comments.
Game business: Monthly active users were 125mn accounts, marking the 14th
Consumer Electronics | Japan
Stock Rating
Industry View
Price target
Shr price, close (Jul 31, 2026)
Mkt cap, curr, basic (bn)
DPS (03/27e)
ROE (03/27e) (%)*
P/BV, basic (03/27e)
P/E, basic (03/27e)*
EV/EBITDA, basic (03/27e)
Overweight
In-Line
¥4,700
¥3,787
¥22,372.3
¥35.0
16.0
2.5
17.0
4.9
* = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP
consecutive quarter of YoY growth. We estimate that margin remained stable
excluding the impact of the US tariff refund and yen depreciation. While there are
investments for the next-generation platform and structural reform costs, we
believe cost control through data utilization has contributed.
Imaging & Sensing Solutions: Jun-Q constant-currency revenue growth was 16%,
marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive growth. Operating margin
improved even excluding the yen depreciation benefit, likely supported by higher
revenue and lower fixed-cost burden.
FY3/27 outlook: Assuming a USD/JPY rate of ¥153, the company raised its FY3/27
full-year operating profit guidance from ¥1.60tn to ¥1.72tn. Of this, around ¥80.0bn
reflects the US tariff refund. Other factors contributing to the upward revision
include cost improvements in Game, yen depreciation, and the consolidation of
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