REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Notes from the Conference Call
Research evidence excerpt
Notes from the Conference Call
Update
July 30, 2026 09:05 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+MVallourec | Europe Guilherme Levy
Equity Analyst
Notes from the Conference Call Guilherme.Levy@morganstanley.comMartijn Rats, CFA +44 20 7425-6616
Equity Analyst and Commodities Strategist
Martijn.Rats@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-6618
Key Takeaways Alice Bergier Winograd
Most questions today were on the logistical issues around the Strait, alternative Alice.Winograd@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0174
routes in the Middle East, and the costs associated with using them …
Vallourec (VLLP.PA, VK FP)
… and also on expectations of margins and volumes into 2H after a softer-than- Energy Services | France
expected guidance for 3Q in terms of EBITDA. Stock Rating Equal-weight
Industry View In-Line
We remain on the sidelines. Price target €22.30
Shr price, close (Jul 29, 2026) €21.20
52-Week Range €27.67-14.76
The key highlights from today's conference call are below: Mkt cap, curr (mn) US$6,010
Net debt (12/26e) (mn)* US$21
• Middle East deliveries and cost recovery: EV, curr (mn)* US$6,060
° Management expects volumes to increase in 3Q and 2H even if the Strait * = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP
of Hormuz remains closed, as alternative delivery routes are now in
place. There have been no order cancellations, only delays to deliveries.
° Additional freight, insurance, transportation and storage costs remain
elevated, with part of the 2Q impact shifting into 3Q. Recovery is being
negotiated customer-by-customer and will take place over the coming
quarters, with part potentially extending into 2027.
° Saudi Arabia is the least affected market given the localised supply
chain, while the UAE and Iraq carry higher logistics costs.
• 3Q mix and cash flow:
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