REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
First Read Terna FY26 guidance reiterated; focus during 2Q26 call on regulatory updates
Research evidence excerpt
First Read Terna FY26 guidance reiterated; focus during 2Q26 call on regulatory updates
Global Research
29 July 2026ab
First Read
EquitiesTerna
FY26 guidance reiterated; focus during 2Q26 Italy
call on regulatory updates Electric Utilities
12-month rating Neutral
12m price target €9.50
Plan execution on track; FY26 targets reiterated; new plan in 2027
Terna reported broadly neutral 2Q26 results today during market and reiterated its FY26
guidance. Management hosted a conf. call in which the focus was on regulatory Price (29 Jul 2026) €10.11
developments, guidance, execution of the plan and supply chain. The company is on RIC: TRN.MI BBG: TRN IM
track to deliver all the development milestones of their 2024-28E business plan,
Trading data and key metrics
including the flagship Tyrrhenian Link project. Management flagged the company's key
role for the Italian energy transition - with 3.4GW of renewables and 1.3GWh of BESS 52-wk range €10.39-8.32
integrated in H1 - and said they are starting to work on a new business plan, to be Market cap. €20.3b/US$23.1b
presented in 2027 once regulation post-2028 is visible. The CFO reiterated previous Shares o/s 2,010m (ORD)
comments that the plan through 2028 is fully funded and provided comfort on Free float 70%
procurement, with >92% of supplies already secured. Overall, no material news came Avg. daily volume ('000) 3,834
from the conf. call. Avg. daily value (m) €38.8
Common s/h equity (12/26E) €8.25b
Focus on framework, output-based incentives and 2027 regulated WACC P/BV (12/26E) 2.5x
Regulatory topics caught most of the attention during Q&A. Key milestones in coming Net debt to EBITDA (12/26E) 5.2x
months should be a consultation on the transition to a full ROSS ('totex') and the
EPS (UBS, diluted) (EUR)
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