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REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH

TransUnion Well Executed Results Drive TRU Stock

Published: 2026-07-28Institution: UBS EquitiesPages: 15Original language: EnglishEvidence page: 1

Research evidence excerpt

TransUnion Well Executed Results Drive TRU Stock

Global Research

28 July 2026ab

TransUnion Equities

AmericasWell Executed Results Drive TRU Stock

Diversified Technology Services

12-month rating Neutral

Bottom Line

The TRU stock is rallying 10% on strong Q2 BEAT + RAISE amid relatively conservative 12m price target US$88.00

2026 guide—if trends continue at or slightly above—current levels. Despite this, Prior : US$80.00

TransUnion reaffirmed organic CC revenue ex-FICO mortgage royalty guidance of

Price (28 Jul 2026) US$85.65

+5-6%. Ex-FICO mortgage royalty organic growth +7% YoY [guided 5-6%] in 2Q26.

Despite higher rates in Q2 and mortgage inquiries declining -7% YoY, Mortgage RIC: TRU.N BBG: TRU US

+37% (+15% ex-FICO royalties) in 2Q26 on pricing and new wins. Adj. EBITDA margin

Trading data and key metrics

~34.8% [34.5-34.7% guided] -90 bps YoY, amid expected impact from FICO no-margin

52-wk range US$98.90-64.43

royalty while FY26 bridge guidance remains, -90bps impact from FICO no-margin

royalty, -40bps from acquisitions, and +50-70bps underlying margin expansion. India Market cap. US$16.6b

segment (~5% revenue) accelerated +8.0% organic CC [from -5% in 1Q26] amid Shares o/s 194m (COM)

improving volumes and new business wins. TransUnion sees MSD improvement over Free float 100%

2026 with LDD long term target. With ~60% of batch activity now on OneTru Avg. daily volume ('000) 724

Platform, US Business migration is on pace with expected completion by end of 2026. Avg. daily value (m) US$51.5

We highlight the continued repurchase $150m YTD through July [expecting similar or Common s/h equity (12/26E) US$5.00b

greater repurchase in H226] while deleveraging to ~2.6x leverage in Q226 [from 2.8x P/BV (12/26E) 3.3x

in1Q26 as the company targets <2.5x leverage].

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