REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Results read-through Sika 2Q26 and Forbo 1H26: Gradual recovery ahead
Research evidence excerpt
Results read-through Sika 2Q26 and Forbo 1H26: Gradual recovery ahead
ad-through is Flooring
12/27E 5.38 5.47
Systems, where org growth reached +2.2% (price/vol +2.0/+0.2%) despite continued
12/28E 6.43 6.20
weakness in construction and refurbishment markets. While the Americas remained
soft, EMEA showed more encouraging trends, suggesting a mixed but stabilizing Leonie Zirn
backdrop for Zehnder's Radiators business. Mgmt remains cautious for 2H26, expecting Analyst
end-markets to stay challenging and procurement costs to remain elevated. leonie.zirn@ubs.com
Sika: Sika delivered strong sales growth in 2Q with vol/price at 3.5/2.2% (2.9% org in +41-44-235 0154
1H26) with further good momentum into 3Q. Sika’s EMEA business accelerated to Patrick Rafaisz, CFA, FRM
7.7% lc growth in H1 (vs. 1.9% in 2025), supported by strong momentum in Eastern Analyst
Europe, Spain, Greece and an improving performance in Germany, indicating a more patrick.rafaisz@ubs.com
favorable building demand backdrop in Zehnder’s European markets. The improved Q2 +41-44-239 90 66
trend in Germany is particularly encouraging. Strong growth in Canada's construction
points to a somewhat positive demand environment for Zehnder’s North American
business (but infra still leading growth). The industry business, which shows a closer read
for the Zehnder's Ventilation business, posted y/y decline of -1.2%. These results,
alongside upgraded full-year sales guidance of 3% to 6%, suggest a gradually
recovering demand environment in key European construction markets.
Valuation:DCF-based PT of CHF87 / Shares trade at attractive discount
We continue to view the shares as attractive at a c40/46% discount vs Ventilation/Swiss
building peers on EV/EBITDA FY27E. Our PT is DCF-based (WACC 9.3%, t-growth
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