REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Croda International: 2Q26 results - Another step towards delivery
Research evidence excerpt
Croda International: 2Q26 results - Another step towards delivery
in Consumer Care, but the key driver of H2 improvement is expected to be Life 12/27E 177.04 174.46 -1 178.43
Sciences, supported by a recovery in Pharma Solutions following H1 project 12/28E 198.76 196.07 -1 197.25
phasing, a modest improvement in Crop Protection and further transformation
benefits. Management also pointed to a stronger Q2 margin exit rate and a more Christian Bell, CFA
favourable mix as supporting H2 margin progression. The key risk in our view is Analyst
that delivery relies on improved Life Sciences volumes. While Crop Protection christian.bell@ubs.com
+44-20-7901 5493
continues to lap strong comparatives from H2 2025 (Q3 +19%, Q4 +12%),
management believes that Q1 2026 reflected a period of customer inventory Priyanka Patel
balancing and therefore sees scope for modest improvement through the second Analyst
priyanka.patel@ubs.com half. In addition, pricing could become less supportive if raw material costs
+44-20-7568 0016
continue to normalise.
We trim adj EBIT by -1% / -1% / -1% in FY26 / FY27 / FY28
In FY26, we lower our OSG forecast from 6.9% to 5.5%, primarily reflecting more
cautious assumptions for Life Sciences, while remaining within management's guidance
range. We think management's commentary around a recovery in Pharma Solutions and
a modest improvement in Crop Protection creates greater scope of risk around H2
volume and pricing than previously. Against this, we increase our H2 margin
assumptions, reflecting ongoing transformation benefits and lower investment-related
headwinds versus H1. In FY27 and FY28, we make modest reductions to our margin
assumptions, reflecting a slightly slower volume recovery profile in Life Sciences,
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